Horse_Cents_Blog

June 3, 2012

How it all works

Filed under: 0.1 Belmont 2012 — admin @ 6:49 pm

The search engines allow you to:

  • Recreate the entry listing based on date, track condition, or race condition.
  • Trend results based on the Morning Line Odds for a specific day or time period of your choice.
  • Trend results based on program number, track condition and race condition going back to 2009.

The search engines can be used as a tool to provide analytics showing the best return on investment based on a particular situation.

Belmont 2012 Findings

Filed under: 0.1 Belmont 2012 — admin @ 6:33 pm
    Morning line odds containing a 5 (i.e 1-5,2-5,…etc.) in stakes races on the dirt regardless of surface type (i.e. Fast, Sloppy, etc.) at any distance has had 2 wins in 2 attempts as of 05-04-2012.

    ——–> The above is now 3 for 4 as of 05-12-2012.
    ————-> The above is now 5 wins in 7 attempts as of 05-19-2012. I need to start taking my own advice.
    —————-> The above is now 5 wins in 8 attempts as of 05-20-2012. Of course when I make a wager it loses.
    ——————-> The above is now 6 wins in 11 attempts yielding a profit of only $1.40 against a total cost of $22 which is a 6% return as of 06-02-2012.
    ——————-> The above is now 7 wins in 15 attempts yielding a negative return on investment.


 

    The morning line odd of 5-2 has been 2 for 2 going 6 furlongs on any turf surface (i.e yielding, firm or soft) and any race type (i.e. claiming, allowance etc.).

    ——–> The above is now 2 for 3 as the 5/2 was off the board in the first race at Belmont on 05-13-2012.
    ——––> The above is now 4 for 7 yielding a profit of only $4.90 against a total cost of $14 which is a 35% return as of 06-03-2012.
    ——–—-> The above is now 5 for 8 yielding a profit of $8.00 against a total cost of $16 which is a 50% return as of 06-09-2012.
    ——–——-> The above is now 6 for 11 yielding a profit of $7.30 against a total cost of $22 which is a 33% return as of 06-20-2012.
    ——–———-> The above is now 7 for 13 yielding a profit of $7.20 against a total cost of $26 which is a 27% return as of 06-30-2012.


 

    The morning line odd of 2-1 is now 3 for 3 in all Optional Claiming races types (i.e. Allowance Optional, Starter Optional, etc.) on any turf surface (i.e yielding, firm or soft) and any distance (6 furlongs, 1 mile, etc.).

    ———> The above streak is now 3 for 4 as the 2-1 was off the board on Friday, 05-18-2012. I have a glitch as the above shows 3 for 5 when trending.
    ————-> The above streak is now 3 for 5 it shows 3 for 6 when trending as I still have a glitch as of 06-03-2012 and the profit margins are off. It is currently yielding a profit of $6.20 against a total cost of $10 which is a 62% return.
    —————-> The above streak is now 3 for 6 it shows 3 for 7 when trending as I still have a glitch as of 06-17-2012 and the profit margins are off. It is currently yielding a profit of $4.20 against a total cost of $12 which is a 35% return.


 

    The odd numbers continue to dominate the Allowance races at 6 Furlongs on the dirt regardless of surface type (i.e. Fast, Sloppy, etc.).

    —–> So far there have been (14 winning odd #’s versus 4 winning even #’s going back to April 29th of last year 2011).
    ——–> Specifically the number 3 and the number 5 have won 10 of the last 15 races over that span.
    ——–> A $60 investment on both numbers yielded $97 which is a 61% return on investment.
    —–——–> The number 3 and the number 5 are now winners of 10 of the last 16 races as of 06-02-2012.
    —–——–> Now there have been (14 winning odd #’s versus 5 winning even #’s going back to April 29th of last year 2011). The number 2 won on 06-02-2012.
    —–——–> Now there have been (14 winning odd #’s versus 6 winning even #’s going back to April 29th of last year 2011). The number 4 won on 06-06-2012. The even numbers are trying to make a come back!
    —–——–> Now there have been (15 winning odd #’s versus 6 winning even #’s going back to April 29th of last year 2011). The number 5 won on 06-16-2012.

Comment by admin — May 20, 2012 @ 8:35 am |Edit This

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